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VENEZUELA ECONOMY 2011 2013

In January 2013 there are new government. It was not easy to overcome the obstacles that the regime was on the road. Questions election results. Threat of civil war. Calls to demonstrate. However, it showed that Chavez was not as popular as I thought. Ignoring their calls for a new president fell on deaf ears. Neither the people came out to protest the armed forces did not endorse a coup. The president-elect took office amid popular rejoicing. It seemed that there was not a Chavez in Venezuela.

The new President, in his first speech, proposed the following measures (where necessary, by an amendment to the Constitution and laws): The country will return to their name Republic of Venezuela. Presidential term will be maintained in 6 years with absolute prohibition of reelection. It will restore the Senate. Be transferred to the states to collect some taxes to be defined. It decentralized the education and health systems, allocating to the regions resources. Shall provide that ownership of the subsoil belongs to the Nation (all of us) and not the state (the few who govern us.) What will power the nation and the state will only act under delegated it (us). Pass the state subordinate to the State boss. Every citizen has the right to participate directly in the operation of a common good (oil, mining, basic industries, etc) The rescue union power and collective bargaining. Will promote the figure of the worker shareholder (country of ownership) will be reviewed confiscations made by the previous regime and will be returned or offset against the fair value to the owners. Be compensated for oil workers illegally dismissed from 2002-2003. It appointed a committee to restructure the oil industry and another to recommend a new model of ownership for companies in Guyana. It will attack the insecurity and modernize existing prison dens. Political prisoners unjustly incarcerated return to their homes. The armed forces will defend the democratic system and physical integrity of the country, will be subordinate to civilian authority and receive the respect they deserve. We advise you with the most distinguished economists to place Venezuela on the road to modernity. As a priority attack the problem of poverty and exclusion. Design a national health insurance plan united (health, education, housing, pensions and unemployment insurance). It will create good paying jobs to reduce informal employment. Develop tourism and restore the productivity of the field. We will give final ownership titles to rural and urban customary tenure have occupied land and housing for a minimum of 10 years. We are determined to Venezuela reality the dream of Hernando de Soto to include the poor today in the financial system. We want to work in harmony in the National Assembly where, temporarily, we are a minority. Govern for all Venezuelans. Seek reconciliation, but bring them to justice those responsible for national disaster. This will create a "truth commission" including Chavez, to investigate all violations of the Constitution, abuse of power and rigged court decisions and corruption.

These are our first proposition. Viva Venezuela!

alberto_quiros@intercon.net.ve

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CONVERSATION IN HAVANA MUD

Chavez landed in Havana and went to the residence of Fidel. After rigor Hug Chavez said: "I came as soon as possible, because in your flame reflects great urgency. "I'm very worried," said Fidel, for the message you received, you and I know comes from Obama. (See The National Conversation in Washington I and II, 28/11 and 05/12-10) I'm glad you took my advice and do not react violently. "Believe me that I have not been easy to stay calm but now," said Chavez, I agree with you, if the U.S. wants to meet threats that do take the initiative propia y no como una reacción a una “provocación” mía, ante un mensaje que Obama podría alegar no haber enviado. –Exactamente –terció Fidel- como siempre te he dicho, tienes que aprender a no responder impulsivamente a provocaciones hechas para que reacciones sin pensarlo. –El problema -dijo Chávez- es que yo no puedo dejarme amedrentar por Obama. Además, a mi no me preocupa lo que me haga. –Pero a mí sí -pensó Fidel- sin decirlo y –agregó- ocúpate porque el mensaje contiene cosas muy peligrosas para ti como: Declarar a Venezuela Estado forajido, eso tendría un fuerte impacto negativo sobre tu balanza comercial. Congelar las cuentas que tengan tus funcionarios in the United States, it destroys loyalties. Seize your oil, remember that the United States are the only ones that pay you full. Accusing some of your drug officers, my advice is to selectively clean the house. You understand me. Furthermore, once the tap can expect other charges as a collaboration with the Colombian guerrillas and money laundering. You should rethink your strategy vis a vis the United States if you want to win the next presidential election. - What should I do?, Asked Chavez. "Do not tell anyone about the message, Fidel argued. Avoid confrontations. A provocation: indifference. Once re-elected president can do whatever you want. But, he said Chavez, if I change my behavior think that Obama will have an effect and threats "that" no me calo. Listen well, "said Fidel, more important than your pride is to act like a strategist. Furthermore, in a few minutes and Raul will not need to show differences in front of him. "Well Fidel, Chavez temporized you know how I value your advice, however, do not know if I can accomplish what you suggest, but I promise you upon my return to Caracas meditate a lot about this conversation. "Well," said Fidel and Raul came. Fidel said, omitting some details the conversation with Chávez. "Actually, Fidel continued is a set of long pulse, well administered, could become a threat as an instrument to confuse Obama's real strategy to the U.S. Hugo. After hours of conversation Chavez dismissed. Fidel Raul looked when they were alone and said: "At this rate we're going to have to look very closely. If you decide to confront the U.S. foolishly did not augur well either him or us. "Amen, Raul ratified've always said that our important relationship with Venezuela could disappear overnight if Hugo no longer believe the most important enemy of the United States. "Now, who says amen I, Fidel topped.

PD: In the coming months, Chavez will be threatened by the United States and advised by Cuba to ensure that in their own interest, to moderate his radicalism. Will it matter?

alberto_quiros@intercon.net.ve

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repeatedly since the inception of the Bureau of Democratic Unity (MUD) have recommended that build on its various committees to integrate sectors civil society, its impact on American life and for their professionalism, have much to contribute in the design of a new country and the strategy of the opposition until December 2012.

The MUD has not responded to this suggestion. In addition, many calling for more vigorous exercise its undisputed political leadership, which commits it to confront the regime's abuses that affect us daily.

understand that the MUD does not want to have a showdown with Chavez to be used by it for that, under the pretext of maintaining public order, declare a state of emergency and suspend presidential elections. We understand but we disagree. First, because the electoral outcome is not the only constitutional change of government. Second, because December 2012 is far in our political calendar and the strategy of not reacting strongly to the continuing abuses of the government only serves to embolden those who have shown no Guarama when he beat in the cave.

We suggest that the MUD that is dedicated to investigate the true situation of Chavez and the position of the armed forces in connection with their alleged allegiance to an unrestricted until Chavez's unconstitutional action.

To analyze the PSUV leaders should recruit as Pompey Marquez, Teodoro Petkoff, Ismael García, Henry Falcon and Vladimir Villegas to integrate a commitment to that goal. On the position of the armed forces must call the admiral retired military Huizi and General García Ordoñez, civil, Rocío San Miguel and Domingo Irwin to create another commission. The groups will give the MUD essential information. If it gets to the election of 2012 will be important to know if the opposition win, it will not be retracted the presidency of the republic by an act of force. on this subject have been some reactions of the MUD and its leaders but have been too soft. You can not get to December 2012 with that sword of Damocles hanging over our collective heads. Do we know, for example, how many leaders of the PSUV he fell ill statements by the President and his two generals? When we know there will be to design an outreach strategy to the masses to convince Chavez that will not act against them and to remember that whoever does not should not pay. Moreover, they all know who the PSUV that they should.

Finally, decide how to react to the opposition to Chavez who took advantage the tragedy of rainfall requires an enabling law, as part of a broader package that allows you to legislate on the human and the divine from military affairs to control communication through a new political regionalization of the country and a cancellation of NGOs. This is neither more nor less than castration in advance of the next national assembly. The elected members with the MUD are required to guide the country toward a strategy of confrontation to prevent the murder of democracy.

In short, the message to the MUD is clear: to integrate into its larger commissions civilian sectors and have a much more combative.

PS: we should welcome recent actions of the MUD and the deputies oriented to face the past excesses of the regime.

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LETTER TO CHAVEZ SPEECH IN WASHINGTON II

Mr. Chairman. Given his usual insults and populist intent erected in the holy defender of the victims, will not remain silent. It is time to denounce, once again, their abuse, abuse, corruption and violation of the Constitution for you and all ponder the enormity of the crime committed against Venezuela. Let's see.

violated the Constitution when it ignored the results of constitutional referendum and enacted laws that impose what the people refused. PDVSA corrupted, forced to lie on its board production levels, prices in the budget estimates, financial statements and the magnitude of the delivery of the Orinoco Oil Belt to their new partners.

destroyed private industry and agriculture. Illegally seized private property and threatened the owners citizens. Resources denied opposition governors and mayors.

ignored structural poverty, exclusion, unemployment and insecurity. Left to rot thousands of tons of food. Violated, for political reasons, the human rights of many. Not implemented a security program that includes supportive social health (a failure). Education (dropout, exclusion and universities were denied a balanced budget). Pension (the amount and coverage is a shame). Housing plan (not to mention its failure). Unemployment Insurance (unmet need).

persecuted and denied representation to unions and labor organizations created related to the government. Forbid the hiring public sector collective. Attempted to impose in Guyana, where it destroyed all companies, a co-management model that was the laughingstock of managers and workers. Destroyed the economy and their disastrous policies, suffer inflation, negative growth, devaluation and shortages of food and medicine. Dollars to be whisked to reimburse importers.

expensive gift helps other countries. Associated with states that have nothing to do with our business interests, political, historical and cultural. He insulted our natural allies and hopefully we were not declare outlaw state.

reiterate its inexcusable responsibility for the tragedies that caused the rain because he left criminally poor people living in areas of high risk and are not built or developments or housing. It is pathetic to see him giving up space while their tormentors Miraflores confiscated trucks with aid, arrest opposition leaders attending the assault affected areas and private hotels to house the homeless. For many arguments that have not is just that, to help some, you irresponsible, it has the private property of others as their own. You had to call, civilized, in a united effort of all Venezuelans. Unfortunately you think you can impose, I swear, their whims. No more!

As you already burned the ships, pray that when, in January 2013, will give the Venezuelan president elected by national majorities he and his government be treated with the disdain with which you rude insults 53% of Venezuelans . Pray also because if we prosecuted here, as they do at sentencing judges, for now his own, (remember CAP) in violation of all norms of law and due process of political opponents.

taking leave, I suggest you ask God to bring back the good luck loss. The will need.